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2014/2015 Futbol Thread
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Midline Shift



Joined: 22 Apr 2010
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 28, 2014 7:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

More Wilson: Chelsea out to rewrite the record books in pursuit of Premier League title

The midweek destruction of Schalke was probably the best game start-to-finish that Chelsea have played this year. With the rest of the contenders struggling to various degrees it will be a massive disappointment if we don't win the league and a make a run in the CL. That said, I hope we're not peaking too early and articles like this make me a little uneasy.


Simon
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jdw
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 28, 2014 11:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

This will probably be a bit like United's run away two years ago, except we fell off later (after the hard loss to Madrid in CL), and I doubt Mou will let Chelsea fall off too much in League even as he chases other silverware. :)
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 11:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Right as we're pimping Chelsea, they have one of those off games.

United looked good against a poor Hull side.

ADM picking up a hamstring injury isn't good, and he looks to be out of next week's game. But the slight positive is that it got Herrera a run, and he looked very good. Getting him back into the CMF to give LVG more options is pretty important.

The rest of the team... who knows.

It's nice to see Carrick back, and he was strong on Saturday. Carrick+Herrera+Fro made for a good three man CMF against a bad team. Rooney thankfully played more advanced. Mata wasn't very impactful, and I'd like to see ADM in that role behind Roony & RVP/Falcao when everyone is healthy.

I thought Smalling & Rojo looked fine in the back line. Young & Valencia is a but scary as fullbacks, but worked against Hull. We need to get Rafa & Shaw back, and need to get some real depth at Left Back.

Blind is going to be out a while with the knee. I would like to see he and Carrick healthy at the same time, which against better teams would allow LVG to play them both with a Herrera linking to attack.
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jdw
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PostPosted: Tue Dec 02, 2014 7:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Meet Marca - The Hilarious Propaganda Arm Of Real Madrid

:)
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jdw
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PostPosted: Wed Dec 03, 2014 12:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Swiss Ramble has done some quicky financial items on Twitter, and one longer piece on his website.

On Barca:

Quote:
Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Jul 29
Barcelona have announced their 2013/14 financial results: record revenue of €530m and profit after tax of €41m

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Jul 29
So Barcelona have reported a total of €122m of profits after tax in the last 3 years.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Jul 29
One point to note: Barcelona's reported revenue includes €40m from player sales (mainly Thiago & Cesc), so their ongoing revenue is €490m.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Jul 29
Therefore, excluding player sales, Barcelona's revenue is virtually unchanged (slightly up from €489m in 2012/13 to €490m in 2013/14).

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Jul 29
For all those asking about Barcelona's "other income" of €53m, this includes player sales of €40m. Not sure about the remaining €13m.


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 03, 2014 12:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

On the Gunners he did a full piece:

Arsenal - Money Changes Everything
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PostPosted: Wed Dec 03, 2014 12:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

On Everton:

Quote:
Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
EFC report significantly higher 2013-14 profit of £28.2m, up £26.6m compared to £1.6m in 2012-13.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
EFC profit up £27m: PL TV deal 33m higher, profit on player sales up 13m, less growth in wages 6m, player amortisation 8m & other costs 5m.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
EFC revenue up 39% from £86m in 2013 to £121m in 2014.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
EFC 2014 gate receipts up £1.8m from £17.5m to £19.3m with average league attendances rising from 36,356 to 37,732.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
EFC 2014 broadcasting revenue up £33m from £56m to £88m, due to new PL TV deal (up £33m from £52m to £85m).

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
EFC 2014 commercial revenue down £0.5m from £13.2m to £12.7m, even though sponsorship, advertising & merchandising up £0.8m to £8.4m.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
EFC 2014 other commercial down £1.1m from £4.4m to £3.3m, due to 2013 including UEFA payment for players who participated in 2012 Euros.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
EFC revenue mix shows reliance on PL TV money: broadcasting 73%, gate receipts 16% and commercial 11%.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
Profit on player sales up from £16m to £28m, incl Fellaini, Anichebe & Jelavic. Lukaku purchase only reflected in #EFC 2014-15 figures.


Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
EFC 2012 staff costs up 10% to £69.3m (2013 £63.0m), but wages to turnover ratio fell from 73% to 58% following high revenue growth.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
After much transfer activity, #EFC 2012 player amortisation up £8m to £18.6m.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
EFC 2014 net debt down £17m to £28m (2013 £45m), comprising gross debt of £49m (up £1m) less £21m cash (up £18m).

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Oct 31
EFC 2014 £49m gross debt mainly £22m loan notes (repayable over 25 yrs at 7.79%) + £21m loan securitized on TV money (renewable Aug 2015).




Everton's press release was here:

http://www.evertonfc.com/news/2014/10/30/everton-reveal-strong-financial-results

Their results can be found in this report (PDF):

http://d2qsy1h1438jt3.cloudfront.net/~/media/c33b00f2da944578ab9ee5c879fc25dc.pdf

My thoughts:

Everton in the Moyes Era did a tremendous job of getting their Financial House in order. It had been a mess, with a big debt run up and at times risk of relegation. They managed their money responsibly, spent their money smartly, sold when they had to, and worked on paying down the debt. They were smart with the last bump in the TV contract to not go and blow it, and instead stick to the plan.

That set them up for the current massive bump in TV money, where they could both eyeball getting the debt down to next to just a "working" level, and also have money to spend if talent was available.

Most of the reduction in Net Debt was simply having more cash on hand, as the Gross Debt was largely the same. That cash no doubt went into their willingness to spend on Romelu Lukaku. But here's the thing: they will still be seeing that extra 30M in TV money that they got last year above 2012/13.

They will likely take a hit in some places this year: Wages, Amortization, no real profit in Player Sales thus far. On the other hand, they're in the first year of new deals with Chang (sponsorship) and Umbro (kit) that should bring in some additional revenue. I think the Chang deal is about a 1.3M bump, while Umbro should be another bump. Not a ton of money relative to what the big boys pull in, but every amount helps.

Long term, the biggest things are:

* not go insane again on the finances

* figure out how to increase Gate Revenue

The second one is either Stadium Improvements, or New Stadium. Neither is easy or cheap.
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PostPosted: Wed Dec 03, 2014 1:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Munchen and a look at how the other Biggest of Big Boys are doing in the graphic:

Quote:
Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Nov 29
Bayern Munich report post tax 2014 profit of €16.5m, up €2.5m from previous season. This is 22nd year in a row that they've made profits

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Nov 29
Bayern reported record revenue of €488m for 2013/14, up €56m (13%) from €431m in previous season.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B3nedECCEAAsdlT.jpg

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Nov 29
Bayern Munich's 2014 revenue: match day €88m (2013 €87m), broadcasting €108m (2013 €107m), commercial €292m (2013 €237m).

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Nov 29
Bayern 2014 commercial revenue up €55m to an incredible €292m: sponsoring €118m, merchandising €105m, other €20m, Allianz Arena €49m.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Nov 29
Bayern's 2014 wage bill up 6% to €215m, but wages to turnover ratio down from 47% to 44%.


Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Nov 29
Despite revenue growth, Bayern's €488m overtaken by #MUFC €542m in 2014, due to Utd’s higher revenue growth and FX impact (weaker Euro).

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Nov 29
Projected 2014 revenue: Real Madrid €550m, #MUFC €542m, Barcelona €490m, Bayern €488m, #CFC €400m, #AFC €373m. PSG & €MCFC yet to report.

Swiss Ramble @SwissRamble · Nov 29
Projected 2014 revenue of some leading clubs. English clubs growing at faster rate. Spanish clubs slowing down.




Additional comment:

EPL revenue for their Big Boys will go up even more under the new Champions League deal. Clubs get a certain cut of the "local" CL contract. It's why Juve made the most CL money several years back despite not even getting to the SF: Italy had just started a massive new TV deal for CL. That's happened to other countries in the years since, and the deal in England was the most insane:

£299M per year for 3 years from BT that doubled the old deal.

A chunk of that of course goes into the main pot that UEFA speads around with all teams, and increases the further you go. But a chunk also is set aside to the EPL teams for the "Market Pool".

Here are the payouts last year:

http://www.uefa.org/MultimediaFiles/Download/OfficialDocument/uefaorg/Finance/02/11/95/44/2119544_DOWNLOAD.pdf

Italy also gets a bump because they have just 3 teams in the CL compared to the 4 for England, Germany and Spain. PSG got a big bump last year because only 2 French sides made it to Group Stage.

Anyway... keep an eye on how the EPL's payouts to the four teams that made it to Group spike up in next year's report.
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PostPosted: Wed Dec 03, 2014 2:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I believe that Chelsea and City are trying to make a point that it's a Top 2 and Everyone Else this year.
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PostPosted: Wed Dec 03, 2014 2:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gunners late get the full three points (Argh!) while Everton only gets 1 at home against the hapless Hull. Not a good result for Everton. :(
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 08, 2014 11:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wacky weekend in the EPL:

Newcastle 2-1 Chelsea
Man City 1-0 Everton
Liverpool 0-0 Sunderland
Spurs 0-0 Palace
Stoke 3-2 Arsenal

We're not catching Chelsea or City. The teams that are reasonable contenders for the #3 & #4 are United, Arsenal, Spurs, Liverpool and Everton.

I don't think Southampton has the legs to stay up there. They have these games on the schedule over the next month, in addition to a number of jobbers:

Dec-08 vs United
Dec-20 vs Everton
Dec-28 vs Chelsea
Jan-01 vs Arsenal
Jan-11 at United

They are in some luck that a lot of those are at home, but still. They are likely to be dropping points. Of course if they get points of United today, then that theory is out the door. ;)

If we won today, the table (below the top 2) looks like this:

28 United
27 West Ham
26 Southampton

23 Arsenal
23 Newcastle
22 Swansea

21 Liverpool
21 Spurs
19 Villa
18 Everton

With the teams that I don't think have any chance of Top 4 finishes in italics.

The five points up on Arsenal is less of a positive than the number of points up on the other teams that could pip us for #4. Would like to build up a nice nest eggs of points.

We've got We've got Pool, Newcastle, Spurs and the two Southampton games over the next month. If we're in form, it's a chance to beat some other top half of the table teams that don't look in form (other than Newcastle). If we fumble... it would be bad. :)
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 08, 2014 12:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

3rd Round FA Cup draw. EPL teams unless noted:

Accrington (4)/Yeovil (3) vs Manchester United
Chelsea vs Watford (2)
Burnley vs Tottenham
Everton vs West Ham
Manchester City vs Sheffield Wednesday (2)
Wimbledon (4) vs Liverpool
Arsenal vs Hull

Great draw for United... except we have to go on the road. We'll be playing in one of these pitches:

Crown Ground, Accrington (5,057 cap)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crown_Ground

Huish Park, Yeovil (9,565 cap)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Huish_Park

Should be pretty cool for them to host United, though perhaps they might have preferred a pay day at Old Trafford. :P

I'm hoping we can make a run in the FA Cup. A trophy at the end of the year would be nice.

The League Cup has a number of Big Boys left at the QF stage:

Derby County (2) vs Chelsea
Sheffield United (3) vs Southampton
Tottenham vs Newcastle
Bournemouth (2) vs Liverpool

Spurs got the toughest draw, but they are at home. Those games are 12/16 & 12/17, with the first two on Tue and the second pair on Wed. BeiN TV has those games.

Kind of pulling for Spurs here since (i) they haven't had a trophy in a while, (ii) I think they've made some good buys over the last couple of years and would like to see it rewarded rather then be looked at as a disaster, and (iii) Chelsea will likely get other silverware. :P
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 08, 2014 1:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Southampton 0-1 United early, but Smalling has been added to our injury list.
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 08, 2014 1:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

1-1 and from the Guardian Live Blog, Southampton is attacking us left and right.
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PostPosted: Tue Dec 09, 2014 5:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Liverpool 1-1 Basel

Que the Cape Fear Laugh. ;)
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